Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

221.69 – 325.07

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

260 – 326

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 481.4 ±11.7

59RamTech

Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 82.71Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7257Semiconductors

Season APEX 179.4Event APEX 120.02Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3298ArrowBots

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 18.96Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.5 ±13.3

5809The Jesubots 5809

Season APEX 221.6Event APEX 155.63Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1997STAGROBOTICS

Season APEX 80.7Event APEX 25.43Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

167Children of the Corn

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 144.01Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 59, 7257, 3298

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.7 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 59, 7257, 3298

Auto

43.3 20%

Teleop

121.0 56%

Endgame

50.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5809, 1997, 167

/ 100 compat

Projected

325.1 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 5809, 1997, 167

Auto

61.1 19%

Teleop

195.1 62%

Endgame

58.3 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score221.7pts

Blue projected score325.1pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -103.4
Score range: 191–356
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 586 vs event baseline 174.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

481.4Season APEX549.5

43.3Auto61.1

121Teleop195.1

50.4Endgame58.3

2Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	24
teleop	140	196
endgame	27	81
foul	25	25
total	260	326

Result

Final score

260 – 326

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts

Match videos

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