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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Iowa Regional

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

415.81 – 220.7

92%8%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

465 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.5 ±11.7
2847The MegaHertz
A
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 218.64Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2227Tigers
D
Season APEX 55Event APEX 11.17Rank 47Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
4728ROCORI Robotics
A
Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 186Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 481.4 ±11.7
59RamTech
A
Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 82.7Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7257Semiconductors
B
Season APEX 179.4Event APEX 119.32Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3298ArrowBots
D
Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 18.68Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2847, 2227, 4728
78
/ 100 compat
Projected
415.8 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 2847, 2227, 4728
Auto
66.9 17%
Teleop
260.3 64%
Endgame
77.8 19%
Strengths
  • · 2847 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 59, 7257, 3298
73
/ 100 compat
Projected
220.7 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 59, 7257, 3298
Auto
46.7 22%
Teleop
123.1 57%
Endgame
45.0 21%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score415.8pts
Blue projected score220.7pts
Red win probability92%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
195.1
Score range
190–447
Upset likelihood
8%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 691 vs event baseline 170.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

566.5Season APEX481.4
66.9Auto46.7
260.3Teleop123.1
77.8Endgame45
11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2327
teleop273115
endgame15974
foul1010
total465226

Result

Final score

465 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Match videos

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