Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
391.96 – 92.3
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
463 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 42.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 213.94Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55Event APEX 3.61Rank 47Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 174.41Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.6 ±17
Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 30.86Rank 33Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 107Event APEX 37.88Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89
11219North Union Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 96.9Event APEX 23.56Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2847, 2227, 4728
79
/ 100 compatProjected
392 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 2847, 2227, 4728
Auto
55.7 14%
Teleop
262.2 67%
Endgame
71.3 18%
Strengths
- · 2847 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 525, 5837, 11219
36
/ 100 compatProjected
92.3 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 525, 5837, 11219
Auto
1.1 1%
Teleop
61.6 70%
Endgame
24.8 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score392pts
Blue projected score92.3pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 299.7
- Score range
- 63–421
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
566.5Season APEX273.6
55.7Auto1.1
262.2Teleop61.6
71.3Endgame24.8
90Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 99 | 17 |
| teleop | 244 | 47 |
| endgame | 95 | 17 |
| foul | 25 | 25 |
| total | 463 | 106 |
Result
Final score
463 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 42.4 pts
Match videos
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