Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

426.1 – 399.71

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

477 – 527

Prediction missed · off by 89.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.5 ±11.7

2847The MegaHertz

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 222.87Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2227Tigers

Season APEX 55Event APEX 14.08Rank 47Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 189.15Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 661.6 ±11

5557BB-R8ERS

Season APEX 144.3Event APEX 45.76Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3928Team Neutrino

Season APEX 227.5Event APEX 161.72Rank 9Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4646Wildcard Robotics

Season APEX 289.8Event APEX 192.23Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2847, 2227, 4728

/ 100 compat

Projected

426.1 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2847, 2227, 4728

Auto

55.8 13%

Teleop

262.6 63%

Endgame

97.4 23%

Strengths

· 2847 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5557, 3928, 4646

/ 100 compat

Projected

399.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5557, 3928, 4646

Auto

82.3 21%

Teleop

219.3 56%

Endgame

90.7 23%

Strengths

· 4646 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score426.1pts

Blue projected score399.7pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.4
Score range: 368–458
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1004 vs event baseline 176.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

566.5Season APEX661.6

55.8Auto82.3

262.6Teleop219.3

97.4Endgame90.7

4Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	116
teleop	188	303
endgame	122	98
foul	60	10
total	477	527

Result

Final score

477 – 527

Prediction missed · off by 89.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.