Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
86.75 – 86.75
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
32 – 229
Prediction missed · off by 98.5 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.3 ±18.2
Season APEX 73.6Event APEX -Rank 23Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92
11210MACHS Raiders 1
Provisional
Season APEX 111.8Event APEX -Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 118.9Event APEX -Rank 52Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 575.8 ±12.4
Season APEX 236.3Event APEX -Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.8Event APEX -Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.7Event APEX -Rank 50Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5914, 11210, 8821
50
/ 100 compatProjected
86.8 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 5914, 11210, 8821
Auto
26.0 30%
Teleop
43.4 50%
Endgame
17.4 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 59, 4646, 5576
50
/ 100 compatProjected
86.8 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 59, 4646, 5576
Auto
26.0 30%
Teleop
43.4 50%
Endgame
17.4 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score86.8pts
Blue projected score86.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 56–118
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
304.3Season APEX575.8
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 20 |
| teleop | 11 | 105 |
| endgame | 0 | 104 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 32 | 229 |
Result
Final score
32 – 229
Prediction missed · off by 98.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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