Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.55 – 136.89

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.9 ±20.5

6805Quack Attack

Provisional

Season APEX 75Event APEX 16.76Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

8821TVRT-Trojanbots

Season APEX 118.9Event APEX 0.04Rank 52Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

5935Tech Tigers

Provisional

Season APEX 84Event APEX 12.75Rank 31Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.9 ±16.5

10476Thunderbots

Provisional

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 7.59Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9570Valiant

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 31.86Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 97.44Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6805, 8821, 5935

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6805, 8821, 5935

Auto

11.4 42%

Teleop

13.5 49%

Endgame

2.5 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10476, 9570, 7848

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.9 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10476, 9570, 7848

Auto

14.9 11%

Teleop

83.9 61%

Endgame

38.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score29.6pts

Blue projected score136.9pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.3
Score range: 1–166
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 192 vs event baseline 163.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.9Season APEX321.9

11.4Auto14.9

13.5Teleop83.9

2.5Endgame38.4

38Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	0
teleop	18	54
endgame	2	53
foul	0	50
total	35	157

Result

Final score

35 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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