Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99 – 99

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 37

Prediction missed · off by 72.5 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.8 ±20.5

5935Tech Tigers

Provisional

Season APEX 84Event APEX -Rank 31Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7038Totino-Grace Pizza Pi's

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX -Rank 53Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 86

9579Tech Devils

Provisional

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX -Rank 48Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.7 ±16.3

10439Wild Wires

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX -Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

1997STAGROBOTICS

Season APEX 80.7Event APEX -Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5141GRIFFINITE

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX -Rank 32Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5935, 7038, 9579

/ 100 compat

Projected

99 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5935, 7038, 9579

Auto

29.7 30%

Teleop

49.5 50%

Endgame

19.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10439, 1997, 5141

/ 100 compat

Projected

99 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10439, 1997, 5141

Auto

29.7 30%

Teleop

49.5 50%

Endgame

19.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score99pts

Blue projected score99pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 63–135
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 53 vs event baseline 198.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

226.8Season APEX254.7

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	15
teleop	5	5
endgame	0	17
foul	0	0
total	16	37

Result

Final score

16 – 37

Prediction missed · off by 72.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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