Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

104.14 – 321.47

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204 ±22.5

3723TEKnights

Provisional

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 30.28Rank 24Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

4260BEAR (Blue Earth Area Robotics)

Provisional

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 31.41Rank 36Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

8737Rocket Rampage#8737

Provisional

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 42.45Rank 42Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 521.5 ±12.8

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 123.11Rank 8Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6419Kernel Chaos

Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 107.31Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2654Polar Rams

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 91.05Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3723, 4260, 8737

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.1 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3723, 4260, 8737

Auto

29.6 34%

Teleop

41.2 48%

Endgame

15.7 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1108, 6419, 2654

/ 100 compat

Projected

321.5 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1108, 6419, 2654

Auto

58.8 18%

Teleop

180.5 55%

Endgame

86.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score104.1pts

Blue projected score321.5pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -217.3
Score range: 75–350
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 451 vs event baseline 158.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204Season APEX521.5

29.6Auto58.8

41.2Teleop180.5

15.7Endgame86.2

5Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	24
teleop	32	227
endgame	20	116
foul	0	5
total	79	372

Result

Final score

79 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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