Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

107.82 – 52.05

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

57 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.4 ±15.6

5837Unity4Tech

Season APEX 107Event APEX 46.44Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7531Servos Strike Back

Season APEX 75.8Event APEX 37.65Rank 46Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5914Robotic Warriors

Season APEX 73.6Event APEX 23.73Rank 23Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.3 ±17.7

5275T.I.M.E.-Bots

Season APEX 77Event APEX 28.99Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9579Tech Devils

Provisional

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 10.51Rank 48Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3298ArrowBots

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 12.55Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5837, 7531, 5914

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 5837, 7531, 5914

Auto

12.9 13%

Teleop

63.5 65%

Endgame

22.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5275, 9579, 3298

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5275, 9579, 3298

Auto

27.0 49%

Teleop

13.3 24%

Endgame

15.3 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score107.8pts

Blue projected score52.1pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.8
Score range: 23–137
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 96 vs event baseline 160.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.4Season APEX217.3

12.9Auto27

63.5Teleop13.3

22Endgame15.3

40Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	13
teleop	32	22
endgame	16	4
foul	0	0
total	57	39

Result

Final score

57 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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