Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

22.45 – 366.95

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 465

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.1 ±15.6

5041CyBears

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 24.16Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

8770FireBolts

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 4.32Rank 35Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8821TVRT-Trojanbots

Season APEX 118.9Event APEX -6.03Rank 52Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 603.3 ±13.9

2847The MegaHertz

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 192.84Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3928Team Neutrino

Season APEX 227.5Event APEX 135.25Rank 9Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9092Tower Robotics

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 38.86Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5041, 8770, 8821

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.5 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5041, 8770, 8821

Auto

19.6 91%

Teleop

-1.5 0%

Endgame

3.5 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2847, 3928, 9092

/ 100 compat

Projected

367 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2847, 3928, 9092

Auto

71.4 21%

Teleop

223.6 64%

Endgame

52.3 15%

Strengths

· 2847 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.46 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score22.5pts

Blue projected score367pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -344.5
Score range: -7–396
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 547 vs event baseline 159.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

275.1Season APEX603.3

19.6Auto71.4

-1.5Teleop223.6

3.5Endgame52.3

32Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	31
teleop	33	303
endgame	25	126
foul	0	5
total	82	465

Result

Final score

82 – 465

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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