Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

208.63 – 322.59

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

228 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.1 ±14.9

967Iron Lions

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 85.17Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10439Wild Wires

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 8.79Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 114.67Rank 8Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 509.4 ±12.8

4646Wildcard Robotics

Season APEX 289.8Event APEX 178.85Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7848WI-FIghterz

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 93.74Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3267Mariner Robotics

Season APEX 103.7Event APEX 50Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 967, 10439, 1108

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 967, 10439, 1108

Auto

28.6 14%

Teleop

139.1 67%

Endgame

38.5 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4646, 7848, 3267

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4646, 7848, 3267

Auto

44.1 15%

Teleop

168.5 56%

Endgame

86.2 29%

Strengths

· 4646 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score208.6pts

Blue projected score322.6pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -114
Score range: 181–351
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 556 vs event baseline 158.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452.1Season APEX509.4

28.6Auto44.1

139.1Teleop168.5

38.5Endgame86.2

32Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	75
teleop	130	181
endgame	66	72
foul	5	0
total	228	328

Result

Final score

228 – 328

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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