Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.26 – 378.08

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

95 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 370.2 ±14.5

5837Unity4Tech

Season APEX 107Event APEX 55.85Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5557BB-R8ERS

Season APEX 144.3Event APEX 35.27Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8821TVRT-Trojanbots

Season APEX 118.9Event APEX -1.86Rank 52Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.7 ±13.5

5041CyBears

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 28.84Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5809The Jesubots 5809

Season APEX 221.6Event APEX 187.9Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 161.34Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5837, 5557, 8821

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.3 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5837, 5557, 8821

Auto

24.4 28%

Teleop

26.0 30%

Endgame

36.3 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5041, 5809, 4728

/ 100 compat

Projected

378.1 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5041, 5809, 4728

Auto

37.0 10%

Teleop

245.1 68%

Endgame

79.1 22%

Strengths

· 5809 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.39 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.3pts

Blue projected score378.1pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -288.8
Score range: 60–407
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 160.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

370.2Season APEX549.7

24.4Auto37

26Teleop245.1

36.3Endgame79.1

85Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	34
teleop	59	240
endgame	18	61
foul	5	20
total	95	355

Result

Final score

95 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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