Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

179.62 – 70.74

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 476.1 ±15.9

5557BB-R8ERS

Season APEX 144.3Event APEX 38.71Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3928Team Neutrino

Season APEX 227.5Event APEX 112.34Rank 9Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11312Royal Flush

Provisional

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 28.57Rank 22Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.4 ±19.8

10476Thunderbots

Provisional

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 50.84Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3723TEKnights

Provisional

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -6.01Rank 24Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

5141GRIFFINITE

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 25.91Rank 32Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5557, 3928, 11312

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5557, 3928, 11312

Auto

57.9 33%

Teleop

100.1 56%

Endgame

20.1 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10476, 3723, 5141

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.7 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10476, 3723, 5141

Auto

10.5 14%

Teleop

49.8 67%

Endgame

14.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score179.6pts

Blue projected score70.7pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.9
Score range: 41–210
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 168.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

476.1Season APEX257.4

57.9Auto10.5

100.1Teleop49.8

20.1Endgame14.2

13Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	16
teleop	75	18
endgame	69	15
foul	5	0
total	232	49

Result

Final score

232 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.