Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.8 – 186.09

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

186 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.6 ±16.9

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 88.2Rank 8Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9543Cyclone Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 104.9Event APEX 16.94Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

5914Robotic Warriors

Season APEX 73.6Event APEX 46.66Rank 23Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.2 ±17.3

5837Unity4Tech

Season APEX 107Event APEX 39.93Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5935Tech Tigers

Provisional

Season APEX 84Event APEX 21.9Rank 31Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

167Children of the Corn

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 124.26Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1108, 9543, 5914

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1108, 9543, 5914

Auto

44.0 29%

Teleop

80.9 54%

Endgame

26.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5837, 5935, 167

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.1 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 5837, 5935, 167

Auto

3.2 2%

Teleop

105.1 59%

Endgame

68.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score151.8pts

Blue projected score186.1pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34.3
Score range: 122–216
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 406 vs event baseline 167.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411.6Season APEX438.2

44Auto3.2

80.9Teleop105.1

26.1Endgame68.7

50Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	22
teleop	112	137
endgame	36	61
foul	0	0
total	186	220

Result

Final score

186 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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