Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

166.14 – 243.26

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

219 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.5 ±14.1

7531Servos Strike Back

Season APEX 75.8Event APEX 50.95Rank 46Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5275T.I.M.E.-Bots

Season APEX 77Event APEX -1.67Rank 44Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6147Tonkabots

Season APEX 145.7Event APEX 116.86Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 418.4 ±18.1

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 144.34Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8822Lc3 Thunderbirds

Provisional

Season APEX 85.4Event APEX 61.49Rank 40Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10439Wild Wires

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 37.43Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7531, 5275, 6147

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7531, 5275, 6147

Auto

26.3 16%

Teleop

114.7 69%

Endgame

24.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4728, 8822, 10439

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.3 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4728, 8822, 10439

Auto

35.9 15%

Teleop

157.8 65%

Endgame

48.2 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score166.1pts

Blue projected score243.3pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.1
Score range: 136–273
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 475 vs event baseline 165.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.5Season APEX418.4

26.3Auto35.9

114.7Teleop157.8

24.9Endgame48.2

75Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	46
teleop	128	138
endgame	42	62
foul	0	10
total	219	256

Result

Final score

219 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.