Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

184.71 – 87.49

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

237 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 588.4 ±15.9

167Children of the Corn

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 106.01Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

59RamTech

Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 61.24Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9543Cyclone Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 104.9Event APEX 17.46Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.4 ±18.2

3723TEKnights

Provisional

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 22.82Rank 24Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7038Totino-Grace Pizza Pi's

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX 6.86Rank 53Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 86

7531Servos Strike Back

Season APEX 75.8Event APEX 57.81Rank 46Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 167, 59, 9543

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 167, 59, 9543

Auto

30.1 16%

Teleop

122.0 66%

Endgame

32.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3723, 7038, 7531

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.5 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3723, 7038, 7531

Auto

21.1 27%

Teleop

50.4 64%

Endgame

7.5 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score184.7pts

Blue projected score87.5pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.2
Score range: 57–215
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 169.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

588.4Season APEX210.4

30.1Auto21.1

122Teleop50.4

32.2Endgame7.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	9
teleop	111	29
endgame	69	12
foul	0	0
total	237	50

Result

Final score

237 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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