Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

78.56 – 39.52

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 39.5 points

red allianceΣ Season APEX 89.6 ±20.5

8822Lc3 Thunderbirds

Provisional

Season APEX 34.6Event APEX 71.14Rank 40Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

5041CyBears

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 1.57Rank 45Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

6805Quack Attack

Provisional

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 5.85Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 84.2 ±15.6

525Swartdogs

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 49.63Rank 33Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5141GRIFFINITE

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 22.15Rank 32Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

8770FireBolts

Season APEX 21.8Event APEX -32.26Rank 35Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39
Score range: 10–109
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 142 vs event baseline 166.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

89.6Season APEX84.2

20.9Auto7.7

22.5Teleop11.9

38.4Endgame16.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	13
teleop	21	44
endgame	8	34
foul	5	0
total	51	91

Result

Final score

51 – 91

Prediction missed · score err 39.5

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

Watch (youtube)