Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

138.23 – 73.82

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.9 ±20

6455The Coded Collective

Provisional

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 92.23Rank 43Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6805Quack Attack

Provisional

Season APEX 75Event APEX 9.43Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3267Mariner Robotics

Season APEX 103.7Event APEX 36.57Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.6 ±18.2

7531Servos Strike Back

Season APEX 75.8Event APEX 36.86Rank 46Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4260BEAR (Blue Earth Area Robotics)

Provisional

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 30.39Rank 36Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6420Fire Island Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 6.57Rank 30Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6455, 6805, 3267

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6455, 6805, 3267

Auto

25.5 19%

Teleop

87.7 64%

Endgame

22.8 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7531, 4260, 6420

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.8 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7531, 4260, 6420

Auto

20.1 28%

Teleop

41.2 57%

Endgame

11.1 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score138.2pts

Blue projected score73.8pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.4
Score range: 43–169
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 169.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.9Season APEX241.6

25.5Auto20.1

87.7Teleop41.2

22.8Endgame11.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	21
teleop	75	39
endgame	30	8
foul	0	20
total	134	88

Result

Final score

134 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.