Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

357.9 – 404.93

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

423 – 320

Prediction missed · off by 75 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 661.6 ±11

5557BB-R8ERS

Season APEX 144.3Event APEX 30.2Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3928Team Neutrino

Season APEX 227.5Event APEX 149.61Rank 9Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4646Wildcard Robotics

Season APEX 289.8Event APEX 178.09Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 608.3 ±13.9

10439Wild Wires

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX -1.61Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2847The MegaHertz

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 219.94Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 186.6Rank 5Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5557, 3928, 4646

/ 100 compat

Projected

357.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 5557, 3928, 4646

Auto

87.0 21%

Teleop

226.0 56%

Endgame

93.0 23%

Strengths

· 4646 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10439, 2847, 4728

/ 100 compat

Projected

404.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10439, 2847, 4728

Auto

54.4 14%

Teleop

230.3 59%

Endgame

107.3 27%

Strengths

· 2847 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score357.9pts

Blue projected score404.9pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47
Score range: 325–438
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 743 vs event baseline 183.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

661.6Season APEX608.3

87Auto54.4

226Teleop230.3

93Endgame107.3

0Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	131	67
teleop	193	139
endgame	84	114
foul	15	0
total	423	320

Result

Final score

423 – 320

Prediction missed · off by 75 pts

Match videos

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