Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

633.86 – 593.31

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

683 – 631

Prediction correct · off by 43.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 885.1 ±8.7

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 220.32Rank 11Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 220.87Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3015Ranger Robotics

A+

Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 192.67Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 908.5 ±11.2

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 210.35Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 210.4Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 172.56Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8749, 1701, 3015

/ 100 compat

Projected

633.9 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 8749, 1701, 3015

Auto

115.9 18%

Teleop

353.7 56%

Endgame

158.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8214, 8513, 1710

/ 100 compat

Projected

593.3 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 8214, 8513, 1710

Auto

159.9 28%

Teleop

308.6 54%

Endgame

107.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.28 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score633.9pts

Blue projected score593.3pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 45%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.6
Score range: 512–715
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1314 vs event baseline 449.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

885.1Season APEX908.5

115.9Auto159.9

353.7Teleop308.6

158.3Endgame107.3

151Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	149	158
teleop	332	299
endgame	197	164
foul	5	10
total	683	631

Result

Final score

683 – 631

Prediction correct · off by 43.4 pts

Match videos

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