Qualification · Qualification 99

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

225.89 – 372.98

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

132 – 581

Prediction correct · off by 151 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 584.4 ±11.2

6200PrepaTec - XRAMS

Season APEX 170.1Event APEX -10.01Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 127.93Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 107.97Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 675.2 ±11

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 153.18Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1014Bad Robots

Season APEX 183.9Event APEX 50.63Rank 48Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 169.17Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6200, 1787, 3506

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.9 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 6200, 1787, 3506

Auto

52.1 24%

Teleop

112.9 52%

Endgame

51.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8267, 1014, 1710

/ 100 compat

Projected

373 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 8267, 1014, 1710

Auto

70.5 19%

Teleop

195.3 54%

Endgame

96.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score225.9pts

Blue projected score373pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.1
Score range: 147–452
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 713 vs event baseline 438.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

584.4Season APEX675.2

52.1Auto70.5

112.9Teleop195.3

51.2Endgame96

109Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	116
teleop	33	344
endgame	5	101
foul	0	20
total	132	581

Result

Final score

132 – 581

Prediction correct · off by 151 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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