Qualification · Qualification 92

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

335.33 – 396.57

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

198 – 442

Prediction correct · off by 91.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 654.7 ±9.3

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 43.93Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 163.56Rank 70Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11493Pixel Knights

Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 127.84Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 686.6 ±8.8

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 251.87Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6639The Mechanical Minds

Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 91.43Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5348Charger Robotics

Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 53.27Rank 60Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1287, 6152, 11493

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.3 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 1287, 6152, 11493

Auto

73.3 23%

Teleop

180.4 56%

Endgame

68.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3467, 6639, 5348

/ 100 compat

Projected

396.6 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 3467, 6639, 5348

Auto

60.1 15%

Teleop

251.0 63%

Endgame

86.4 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.55 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score335.3pts

Blue projected score396.6pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.2
Score range: 256–476
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 640 vs event baseline 437.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

654.7Season APEX686.6

73.3Auto60.1

180.4Teleop251

68.5Endgame86.4

169Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	104
teleop	116	225
endgame	46	113
foul	0	0
total	198	442

Result

Final score

198 – 442

Prediction correct · off by 91.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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