Qualification · Qualification 90

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

580.54 – 255.41

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

356 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 147.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 787.1 ±9.3

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 311.33Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 110.68Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

188Blizzard

Season APEX 215.8Event APEX 158.53Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 620.6 ±8.7

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 143.99Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

540TALON 540 Godwin Robotics

Season APEX 200.5Event APEX 11.1Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 100.32Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1706, 3539, 188

/ 100 compat

Projected

580.5 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1706, 3539, 188

Auto

86.2 15%

Teleop

335.1 58%

Endgame

153.5 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8005, 540, 2607

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.4 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 8005, 540, 2607

Auto

59.7 25%

Teleop

113.1 47%

Endgame

68.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.79 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score580.5pts

Blue projected score255.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 325.1
Score range: 176–660
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 681 vs event baseline 436.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

787.1Season APEX620.6

86.2Auto59.7

335.1Teleop113.1

153.5Endgame68.9

141Consistency165

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	90
teleop	222	186
endgame	78	49
foul	0	0
total	356	325

Result

Final score

356 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 147.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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