Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
182.09 – 182.09
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
411 – 309
Prediction correct · off by 177.9 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 604.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 224.8Event APEX -Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 174.1Event APEX -Rank 65Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX -Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 633.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 151.4Event APEX -Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.2Event APEX -Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 201.6Event APEX -Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8267, 9692, 2607
50
/ 100 compatProjected
182.1 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 8267, 9692, 2607
Auto
54.6 30%
Teleop
91.0 50%
Endgame
36.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11024, 5406, 1625
50
/ 100 compatProjected
182.1 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 11024, 5406, 1625
Auto
54.6 30%
Teleop
91.0 50%
Endgame
36.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score182.1pts
Blue projected score182.1pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 24%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 116–248
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
604.1Season APEX633.2
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 66 | 85 |
| teleop | 215 | 153 |
| endgame | 130 | 66 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 411 | 309 |
Result
Final score
411 – 309
Prediction correct · off by 177.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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