Qualification · Qualification 88

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

304.64 – 561.11

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

430 – 610

Prediction correct · off by 87.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 640.4 ±11

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 106.92Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9692Sigma

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 156.13Rank 65Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10907ROBOLYNX

Season APEX 191.7Event APEX 41.59Rank 69Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 887.5 ±11.2

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 159.77Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 212.22Rank 11Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 189.12Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4143, 9692, 10907

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.6 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 4143, 9692, 10907

Auto

91.8 30%

Teleop

159.1 52%

Endgame

55.8 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10131, 8749, 8214

/ 100 compat

Projected

561.1 pts

~3.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 10131, 8749, 8214

Auto

167.5 30%

Teleop

314.6 56%

Endgame

76.9 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.82 · Blue 3.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score304.6pts

Blue projected score561.1pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 41%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -256.5
Score range: 227–639
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1040 vs event baseline 434.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

640.4Season APEX887.5

91.8Auto167.5

159.1Teleop314.6

55.8Endgame76.9

166Consistency170

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	155
teleop	251	318
endgame	115	137
foul	0	0
total	430	610

Result

Final score

430 – 610

Prediction correct · off by 87.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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