Qualification · Qualification 86

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

406.72 – 543.49

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

430 – 803

Prediction correct · off by 141.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 764.4 ±9.9

1014Bad Robots

Season APEX 183.9Event APEX 53.37Rank 48Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 208.3Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

494Martians

Season APEX 258.7Event APEX 145.05Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 885.1 ±8.1

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 225Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 145.09Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 173.4Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1014, 5000, 494

/ 100 compat

Projected

406.7 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 1014, 5000, 494

Auto

60.0 14%

Teleop

224.9 54%

Endgame

131.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 581, 8513, 503

/ 100 compat

Projected

543.5 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 581, 8513, 503

Auto

141.9 27%

Teleop

267.8 50%

Endgame

124.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.37 · Blue 2.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score406.7pts

Blue projected score543.5pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 39%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -136.8
Score range: 329–621
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1233 vs event baseline 433.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

764.4Season APEX885.1

60Auto141.9

224.9Teleop267.8

131.2Endgame124.9

116Consistency158

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	141
teleop	175	451
endgame	164	211
foul	5	0
total	430	803

Result

Final score

430 – 803

Prediction correct · off by 141.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.