Qualification · Qualification 84

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

226.12 – 323.45

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

419 – 504

Prediction correct · off by 186.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 578.3 ±9.3

6639The Mechanical Minds

Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 61.16Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 27.34Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4174Mustang Robotics

Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 137.62Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 662.6 ±9.8

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 89.79Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4201The Vitruvian Bots

Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 134.91Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5454Obsidian

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 98.75Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6639, 1287, 4174

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.1 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 6639, 1287, 4174

Auto

76.5 35%

Teleop

114.5 52%

Endgame

28.7 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1787, 4201, 5454

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.5 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 1787, 4201, 5454

Auto

59.5 19%

Teleop

151.8 49%

Endgame

99.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.33 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score226.1pts

Blue projected score323.5pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.3
Score range: 148–401
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 923 vs event baseline 433.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

578.3Season APEX662.6

76.5Auto59.5

114.5Teleop151.8

28.7Endgame99.8

191Consistency113

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	100
teleop	198	303
endgame	138	101
foul	5	0
total	419	504

Result

Final score

419 – 504

Prediction correct · off by 186.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.