Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
196.32 – 196.32
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
68 – 262
Prediction missed · off by 97 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 534.3 ±11
Season APEX 105.4Event APEX -Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.2Event APEX -Rank 47Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 191.7Event APEX -Rank 69Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 636.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 204.4Event APEX -Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 258.7Event APEX -Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 173.4Event APEX -Rank 60Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4191, 2383, 10907
50
/ 100 compatProjected
196.3 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 4191, 2383, 10907
Auto
58.9 30%
Teleop
98.2 50%
Endgame
39.3 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3506, 494, 5348
50
/ 100 compatProjected
196.3 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 3506, 494, 5348
Auto
58.9 30%
Teleop
98.2 50%
Endgame
39.3 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score196.3pts
Blue projected score196.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 125–267
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
534.3Season APEX636.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 21 |
| teleop | 60 | 190 |
| endgame | 3 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 68 | 262 |
Result
Final score
68 – 262
Prediction missed · off by 97 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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