Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

425.33 – 445.51

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

464 – 589

Prediction correct · off by 91.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 821 ±11.4

7287Esquimalt Atom Smashers

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 64.05Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 224.32Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4201The Vitruvian Bots

Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 136.96Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 780.5 ±9.3

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 166.46Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 200.66Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 78.39Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7287, 581, 4201

/ 100 compat

Projected

425.3 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7287, 581, 4201

Auto

99.1 24%

Teleop

182.1 44%

Endgame

135.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6517, 8044, 3506

/ 100 compat

Projected

445.5 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 6517, 8044, 3506

Auto

55.8 13%

Teleop

237.7 55%

Endgame

135.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.77 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score425.3pts

Blue projected score445.5pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.2
Score range: 348–523
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1053 vs event baseline 428.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

821Season APEX780.5

99.1Auto55.8

182.1Teleop237.7

135.3Endgame135.3

163Consistency214

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	132
teleop	221	300
endgame	136	152
foul	5	5
total	464	589

Result

Final score

464 – 589

Prediction correct · off by 91.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.