Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

523.78 – 537.86

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

576 – 648

Prediction correct · off by 81.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 768.1 ±8.7

401Copperhead Robotics

Season APEX 210Event APEX 107.62Rank 55Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 183.35Rank 70Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 232.81Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 754.8 ±9.8

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 275.72Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 196.52Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4191IMC

Season APEX 105.4Event APEX 65.62Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 401, 6152, 1732

/ 100 compat

Projected

523.8 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 401, 6152, 1732

Auto

131.2 25%

Teleop

299.6 58%

Endgame

89.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1706, 5000, 4191

/ 100 compat

Projected

537.9 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 1706, 5000, 4191

Auto

78.0 14%

Teleop

332.4 62%

Endgame

129.1 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.03 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score523.8pts

Blue projected score537.9pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 46%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.1
Score range: 447–615
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1224 vs event baseline 425.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

768.1Season APEX754.8

131.2Auto78

299.6Teleop332.4

89Endgame129.1

174Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	113
teleop	357	369
endgame	145	166
foul	15	0
total	576	648

Result

Final score

576 – 648

Prediction correct · off by 81.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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