Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
198.17 – 198.17
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
390 – 351
Prediction correct · off by 172.3 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 666.4 ±12.4
Season APEX 261.8Event APEX -Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 183.9Event APEX -Rank 48Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 220.7Event APEX -Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 764.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 274.6Event APEX -Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 212.6Event APEX -Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 277.7Event APEX -Rank 70Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11270, 1014, 7287
50
/ 100 compatProjected
198.2 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 11270, 1014, 7287
Auto
59.5 30%
Teleop
99.1 50%
Endgame
39.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4143, 761, 6152
50
/ 100 compatProjected
198.2 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 4143, 761, 6152
Auto
59.5 30%
Teleop
99.1 50%
Endgame
39.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score198.2pts
Blue projected score198.2pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 26%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 127–269
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
666.4Season APEX764.9
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 150 |
| teleop | 201 | 161 |
| endgame | 110 | 40 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 390 | 351 |
Result
Final score
390 – 351
Prediction correct · off by 172.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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