Qualification · Qualification 67
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
248.36 – 356.15
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
263 – 298
Prediction correct · off by 36.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 556.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 54.52Rank 60Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 134.59Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 59.25Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 610.1 ±8.7
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 102.25Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 68.56Rank 63Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 185.34Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5348, 2220, 6121
51
/ 100 compatProjected
248.4 pts
~1.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 5348, 2220, 6121
Auto
49.8 21%
Teleop
133.7 56%
Endgame
55.8 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2607, 1259, 573
63
/ 100 compatProjected
356.2 pts
~2.4 RP (championship)
Teams: 2607, 1259, 573
Auto
55.7 17%
Teleop
165.5 50%
Endgame
110.8 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score248.4pts
Blue projected score356.2pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 24%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -107.8
- Score range
- 171–433
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
556.9Season APEX610.1
49.8Auto55.7
133.7Teleop165.5
55.8Endgame110.8
124Consistency185
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 29 |
| teleop | 191 | 146 |
| endgame | 24 | 123 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 263 | 298 |
Result
Final score
263 – 298
Prediction correct · off by 36.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.