Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.91 – 349.68

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

255 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 98.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.5 ±8.7

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 26.77Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 90.65Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX -21.51Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 707.5 ±9.3

4698Raider Robotics

Season APEX 283Event APEX 220.56Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 116.21Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 12.91Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11024, 3539, 7451

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.9 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 11024, 3539, 7451

Auto

38.4 50%

Teleop

25.5 33%

Endgame

13.2 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4698, 4143, 1287

/ 100 compat

Projected

349.7 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 4698, 4143, 1287

Auto

117.7 35%

Teleop

182.0 54%

Endgame

40.0 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score95.9pts

Blue projected score349.7pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -253.8
Score range: 18–428
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 643 vs event baseline 431.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

538.5Season APEX707.5

38.4Auto117.7

25.5Teleop182

13.2Endgame40

110Consistency198

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	113
teleop	138	192
endgame	63	68
foul	0	15
total	255	388

Result

Final score

255 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 98.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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