Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
253.03 – 405.08
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
446 – 502
Prediction correct · off by 144.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 655.3 ±9.8
Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 123.56Rank 70Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 51.8Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 77.67Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 700.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 215.8Event APEX 149.48Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 116.06Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 139.54Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6152, 2834, 1787
54
/ 100 compatProjected
253 pts
~1.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 6152, 2834, 1787
Auto
64.0 25%
Teleop
136.2 54%
Endgame
51.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 188, 3035, 6517
65
/ 100 compatProjected
405.1 pts
~2.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 188, 3035, 6517
Auto
42.7 10%
Teleop
273.3 65%
Endgame
102.1 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.82
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score253pts
Blue projected score405.1pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 74%
Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 32%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -152
- Score range
- 176–482
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
655.3Season APEX700.5
64Auto42.7
136.2Teleop273.3
51.1Endgame102.1
144Consistency197
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 90 | 70 |
| teleop | 258 | 251 |
| endgame | 83 | 176 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 446 | 502 |
Result
Final score
446 – 502
Prediction correct · off by 144.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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