Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

362.28 – 614.76

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

258 – 459

Prediction correct · off by 130 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 656.3 ±10.7

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 56.15Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6639The Mechanical Minds

Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 93.19Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 212.94Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 817.2 ±9.4

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 290.62Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 171.21Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 152.93Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7451, 6639, 8214

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.3 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7451, 6639, 8214

Auto

103.4 29%

Teleop

200.9 56%

Endgame

54.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1706, 503, 1986

/ 100 compat

Projected

614.8 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 1706, 503, 1986

Auto

131.4 21%

Teleop

354.5 58%

Endgame

126.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score362.3pts

Blue projected score614.8pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -252.5
Score range: 279–698
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 717 vs event baseline 461.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

656.3Season APEX817.2

103.4Auto131.4

200.9Teleop354.5

54.5Endgame126.6

168Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	107
teleop	134	279
endgame	8	73
foul	10	0
total	258	459

Result

Final score

258 – 459

Prediction correct · off by 130 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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