Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

275.85 – 389.09

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

335 – 380

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 688.9 ±9.3

401Copperhead Robotics

Season APEX 210Event APEX 90.91Rank 55Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 126.9Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

540TALON 540 Godwin Robotics

Season APEX 200.5Event APEX 58.04Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 688 ±11.2

2220Blue Twilight

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 122.11Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 133.91Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11118The Baybies

A+

Season APEX 308.5Event APEX 133.07Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 401, 10131, 540

/ 100 compat

Projected

275.9 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 401, 10131, 540

Auto

57.1 22%

Teleop

103.7 39%

Endgame

103.2 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2220, 761, 11118

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.1 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2220, 761, 11118

Auto

67.8 18%

Teleop

225.9 59%

Endgame

88.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.31 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score275.9pts

Blue projected score389.1pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.2
Score range: 199–466
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 715 vs event baseline 430.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

688.9Season APEX688

57.1Auto67.8

103.7Teleop225.9

103.2Endgame88.5

145Consistency168

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	65
teleop	162	150
endgame	73	95
foul	5	70
total	335	380

Result

Final score

335 – 380

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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