Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

416.65 – 445.62

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

389 – 616

Prediction correct · off by 99 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 713.7 ±11.7

3297Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 211.6Event APEX 147.46Rank 53Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 245.06Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9449Yellowjackets

Season APEX 164.3Event APEX 24.13Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 868.2 ±9.3

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 156.77Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 116.04Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 172.81Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3297, 8214, 9449

/ 100 compat

Projected

416.7 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 3297, 8214, 9449

Auto

137.4 33%

Teleop

195.3 47%

Endgame

80.4 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 238, 1710, 8513

/ 100 compat

Projected

445.6 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 238, 1710, 8513

Auto

109.6 26%

Teleop

220.4 52%

Endgame

96.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.86 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score416.7pts

Blue projected score445.6pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 44%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29
Score range: 340–523
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1005 vs event baseline 429.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

713.7Season APEX868.2

137.4Auto109.6

195.3Teleop220.4

80.4Endgame96.7

49Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	136	119
teleop	219	331
endgame	34	116
foul	0	50
total	389	616

Result

Final score

389 – 616

Prediction correct · off by 99 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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