Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

304.72 – 595.3

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

319 – 526

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 708.6 ±9.3

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX -38.46Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5348Charger Robotics

Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 66.26Rank 60Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 276.92Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 838 ±8.7

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 214.88Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 207.77Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 172.65Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7451, 5348, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.7 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 7451, 5348, 6329

Auto

85.9 28%

Teleop

208.3 68%

Endgame

11.2 4%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5000, 1701, 8005

/ 100 compat

Projected

595.3 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 5000, 1701, 8005

Auto

81.6 14%

Teleop

364.6 62%

Endgame

138.8 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.63 · Blue 3.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score304.7pts

Blue projected score595.3pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 37%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -290.6
Score range: 227–673
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 845 vs event baseline 432.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

708.6Season APEX838

85.9Auto81.6

208.3Teleop364.6

11.2Endgame138.8

121Consistency145

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	110
teleop	162	296
endgame	92	120
foul	0	0
total	319	526

Result

Final score

319 – 526

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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