Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

504.57 – 237.54

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

629 – 510

Prediction correct · off by 198.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 926.2 ±8.7

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 138.82Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 143.46Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 222.29Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 719 ±8.7

5406Celt-X

Season APEX 280.2Event APEX 154.02Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 37.17Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

910The Foley Freeze

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 46.35Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2659, 1732, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

504.6 pts

~3.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2659, 1732, 581

Auto

151.6 30%

Teleop

275.1 54%

Endgame

81.7 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 47%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5406, 6121, 910

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.5 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 5406, 6121, 910

Auto

44.2 19%

Teleop

147.8 62%

Endgame

45.1 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 47%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 3.11 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score504.6pts

Blue projected score237.5pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 47%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 267
Score range: 161–582
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1139 vs event baseline 427.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

926.2Season APEX719

151.6Auto44.2

275.1Teleop147.8

81.7Endgame45.1

160Consistency152

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	109	113
teleop	384	288
endgame	131	109
foul	5	0
total	629	510

Result

Final score

629 – 510

Prediction correct · off by 198.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.