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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

407.34375.86

60%40%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

635209

Prediction correct · off by 197.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 791.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 312.5Event APEX 159.1Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 151.4Event APEX -17.09Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 265.33Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 668.1 ±11
Season APEX 191.7Event APEX 61.96Rank 69Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 118.82Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 195.08Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3015, 11024, 1706
66
/ 100 compat
Projected
407.3 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 3015, 11024, 1706
Auto
78.5 20%
Teleop
230.0 57%
Endgame
92.3 23%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10907, 1787, 1710
59
/ 100 compat
Projected
375.9 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 10907, 1787, 1710
Auto
108.5 29%
Teleop
198.7 53%
Endgame
65.4 18%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score407.3pts
Blue projected score375.9pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 29%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
31.5
Score range
300483
Upset likelihood
40%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 844 vs event baseline 423.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

791.5Season APEX668.1
78.5Auto108.5
230Teleop198.7
92.3Endgame65.4
120Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto9765
teleop36476
endgame17453
foul015
total635209

Result

Final score

635209

Prediction correct · off by 197.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable

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