Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

407.35 – 486.19

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

475 – 594

Prediction correct · off by 87.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 666.8 ±9.8

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 155.33Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11493Pixel Knights

Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 80.87Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 171.15Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 809.1 ±10.7

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 206.4Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

494Martians

Season APEX 258.7Event APEX 173.68Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 106.11Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8267, 11493, 8005

/ 100 compat

Projected

407.4 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 8267, 11493, 8005

Auto

47.7 12%

Teleop

212.4 54%

Endgame

134.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8214, 494, 761

/ 100 compat

Projected

486.2 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 8214, 494, 761

Auto

87.1 18%

Teleop

258.3 54%

Endgame

131.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.54 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score407.4pts

Blue projected score486.2pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.8
Score range: 331–562
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1069 vs event baseline 420.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

666.8Season APEX809.1

47.7Auto87.1

212.4Teleop258.3

134.8Endgame131.4

129Consistency137

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	147
teleop	234	323
endgame	141	124
foul	10	0
total	475	594

Result

Final score

475 – 594

Prediction correct · off by 87.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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