Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
360.79 – 337.88
57%43%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
493 – 312
Prediction correct · off by 79 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 780.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 192.86Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 73.79Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 94.14Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 747.5 ±12.4
Season APEX 170.1Event APEX -32.21Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 294.4Event APEX 135.6Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 283Event APEX 234.49Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5000, 4174, 2607
68
/ 100 compatProjected
360.8 pts
~2.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 5000, 4174, 2607
Auto
82.4 24%
Teleop
162.8 47%
Endgame
104.1 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 28%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6200, 4613, 4698
64
/ 100 compatProjected
337.9 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 6200, 4613, 4698
Auto
69.8 21%
Teleop
159.0 48%
Endgame
105.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 28%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score360.8pts
Blue projected score337.9pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 21%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 22.9
- Score range
- 262–437
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
780.3Season APEX747.5
82.4Auto69.8
162.8Teleop159
104.1Endgame105.7
214Consistency207
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 113 | 45 |
| teleop | 256 | 146 |
| endgame | 124 | 106 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 493 | 312 |
Result
Final score
493 – 312
Prediction correct · off by 79 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.