Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

398.6 – 337.69

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

573 – 517

Prediction correct · off by 176.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 766.5 ±9.3

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 261.84Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

573Mech Warriors

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 152.55Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9449Yellowjackets

Season APEX 164.3Event APEX -15.79Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 695.5 ±9.3

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 91.19Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 103.57Rank 70Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9692Sigma

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 142.93Rank 65Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6329, 573, 9449

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.6 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 6329, 573, 9449

Auto

96.8 23%

Teleop

220.6 54%

Endgame

94.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3539, 6152, 9692

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.7 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 3539, 6152, 9692

Auto

113.8 34%

Teleop

165.0 50%

Endgame

52.9 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.34 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score398.6pts

Blue projected score337.7pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.9
Score range: 263–474
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1090 vs event baseline 417.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

766.5Season APEX695.5

96.8Auto113.8

220.6Teleop165

94.6Endgame52.9

116Consistency155

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	71
teleop	295	298
endgame	157	143
foul	5	5
total	573	517

Result

Final score

573 – 517

Prediction correct · off by 176.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.