Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

389.39 – 543.46

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

597 – 787

Prediction correct · off by 225.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 813.8 ±8.7

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 140.39Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 141.42Rank 20Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 107.58Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 941.1 ±9.8

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 97.92Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 233.51Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 212.03Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1296, 6328, 3035

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.4 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 1296, 6328, 3035

Auto

108.2 28%

Teleop

200.3 51%

Endgame

83.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1710, 1706, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

543.5 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1710, 1706, 581

Auto

150.2 27%

Teleop

306.8 55%

Endgame

102.6 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.34 · Blue 2.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score389.4pts

Blue projected score543.5pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 37%, blue 44%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -154.1
Score range: 315–617
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1384 vs event baseline 408.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

813.8Season APEX941.1

108.2Auto150.2

200.3Teleop306.8

83.6Endgame102.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	141	187
teleop	284	439
endgame	172	156
foul	0	5
total	597	787

Result

Final score

597 – 787

Prediction correct · off by 225.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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