Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

348.73 – 439.42

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

268 – 561

Prediction correct · off by 101.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 626.7 ±8.7

910The Foley Freeze

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 114.53Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 88.68Rank 63Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

401Copperhead Robotics

Season APEX 210Event APEX 145.52Rank 55Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 782.9 ±11.7

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 159.15Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8214Cyber Unicorn

Season APEX 337.8Event APEX 157.44Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 122.83Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 910, 1259, 401

/ 100 compat

Projected

348.7 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 910, 1259, 401

Auto

70.5 20%

Teleop

173.3 50%

Endgame

106.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6517, 8214, 1787

/ 100 compat

Projected

439.4 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 6517, 8214, 1787

Auto

66.2 15%

Teleop

233.4 53%

Endgame

141.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.35 · Blue 2.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score348.7pts

Blue projected score439.4pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 42%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90.7
Score range: 275–513
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 829 vs event baseline 408.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

626.7Season APEX782.9

70.5Auto66.2

173.3Teleop233.4

106.2Endgame141.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	165
teleop	111	307
endgame	105	69
foul	5	20
total	268	561

Result

Final score

268 – 561

Prediction correct · off by 101.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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