Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

404.43 – 491.66

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

163 – 654

Prediction correct · off by 201.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.4 ±9.3

2220Blue Twilight

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 201.18Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6639The Mechanical Minds

Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 113.11Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 90.14Rank 73Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 976.4 ±8.7

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 261.19Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 124.39Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 106.08Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2220, 6639, 11024

/ 100 compat

Projected

404.4 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 2220, 6639, 11024

Auto

97.9 25%

Teleop

207.2 52%

Endgame

92.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6329, 1732, 8513

/ 100 compat

Projected

491.7 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 6329, 1732, 8513

Auto

150.5 31%

Teleop

277.7 57%

Endgame

58.0 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score404.4pts

Blue projected score491.7pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 48%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.2
Score range: 330–566
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 817 vs event baseline 408.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.4Season APEX976.4

97.9Auto150.5

207.2Teleop277.7

92.1Endgame58

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	160
teleop	88	332
endgame	38	162
foul	5	0
total	163	654

Result

Final score

163 – 654

Prediction correct · off by 201.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.