Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

250.6 – 386.31

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

290 – 547

Prediction correct · off by 100 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 678.7 ±9.3

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 65.43Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 109.23Rank 70Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2199Robo-Lions

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 75.94Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 836.4 ±8.7

5406Celt-X

Season APEX 280.2Event APEX 136.13Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

494Martians

Season APEX 258.7Event APEX 174.51Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 75.67Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1625, 6152, 2199

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.6 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 1625, 6152, 2199

Auto

79.3 31%

Teleop

151.0 60%

Endgame

21.8 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5406, 494, 238

/ 100 compat

Projected

386.3 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 5406, 494, 238

Auto

61.7 17%

Teleop

206.9 58%

Endgame

89.0 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.1 · Blue 2.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score250.6pts

Blue projected score386.3pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 37%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -135.7
Score range: 178–459
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 837 vs event baseline 404.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

678.7Season APEX836.4

79.3Auto61.7

151Teleop206.9

21.8Endgame89

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	19
teleop	180	325
endgame	80	203
foul	0	0
total	290	547

Result

Final score

290 – 547

Prediction correct · off by 100 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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