Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

233.6 – 436.08

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 686

Prediction correct · off by 174.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 647.4 ±10.7

6200PrepaTec - XRAMS

Season APEX 170.1Event APEX -24.62Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2102Team Paradox

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 134.16Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 124.06Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 842.8 ±9.8

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 209.79Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11493Pixel Knights

Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 77.4Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3297Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 211.6Event APEX 148.89Rank 53Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6200, 2102, 3539

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.6 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 6200, 2102, 3539

Auto

37.1 17%

Teleop

141.1 64%

Endgame

43.4 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2056, 11493, 3297

/ 100 compat

Projected

436.1 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 2056, 11493, 3297

Auto

92.6 21%

Teleop

230.0 53%

Endgame

109.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score233.6pts

Blue projected score436.1pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -202.5
Score range: 161–509
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 820 vs event baseline 404.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

647.4Season APEX842.8

37.1Auto92.6

141.1Teleop230

43.4Endgame109.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	145
teleop	36	383
endgame	47	128
foul	0	30
total	134	686

Result

Final score

134 – 686

Prediction correct · off by 174.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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