Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

519.47 – 391.59

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

532 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 774.2 ±9.3

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 159.36Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 160Rank 20Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 200.11Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 657.6 ±9.8

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 137.27Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9449Yellowjackets

Season APEX 164.3Event APEX 80.07Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 174.25Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1787, 6328, 3641

/ 100 compat

Projected

519.5 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 1787, 6328, 3641

Auto

147.2 28%

Teleop

247.5 48%

Endgame

122.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 39%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8005, 9449, 10131

/ 100 compat

Projected

391.6 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 8005, 9449, 10131

Auto

85.4 22%

Teleop

219.3 56%

Endgame

88.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 39%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.67 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score519.5pts

Blue projected score391.6pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 39%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 127.9
Score range: 309–602
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 866 vs event baseline 461.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

774.2Season APEX657.6

147.2Auto85.4

247.5Teleop219.3

122.7Endgame88.1

99Consistency124

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	143	74
teleop	291	165
endgame	93	95
foul	5	0
total	532	334

Result

Final score

532 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.