Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

271.14 – 492.29

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

368 – 365

Prediction missed · off by 112.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 739 ±9.3

540TALON 540 Godwin Robotics

Season APEX 200.5Event APEX 100.33Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 156.61Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2383Ninjineers

Season APEX 237.2Event APEX 14.2Rank 47Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 727.4 ±8.7

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 75.76Rank 67Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 282.73Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 133.8Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 540, 1701, 2383

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.1 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 540, 1701, 2383

Auto

55.4 21%

Teleop

158.9 60%

Endgame

49.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3175, 11270, 5086

/ 100 compat

Projected

492.3 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 3175, 11270, 5086

Auto

117.8 24%

Teleop

255.6 52%

Endgame

121.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score271.1pts

Blue projected score492.3pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -221.2
Score range: 198–565
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 733 vs event baseline 406.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

739Season APEX727.4

55.4Auto117.8

158.9Teleop255.6

49.9Endgame121.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	66
teleop	139	173
endgame	153	91
foul	20	35
total	368	365

Result

Final score

368 – 365

Prediction missed · off by 112.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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